We've turned the corner

Threat of Shadow Inventory Diminishing: Barclays

Analysts at Barclays Capital say the industry's ominous shadow inventory is close to topping out. New research published by the firm says the supply of homes nearing REO status, defined as 90 or more days delinquent or in the process of foreclosure, will peak this summer and then begin falling gradually as the market becomes stable enough to absorb 130,000 distressed properties a month. Barclays puts the shadow supply at 4.5 million properties, but forecasts at least 4.7 million distressed sales over the next three years.